Currency Related Articles

Trading System Back Testing! Know These Shocking Limitations

Feb 27, 2010 currency trading

Developing a trading system is not easy. It requires first of all good trading experience. Than you need to test your trading system under live trading conditions. It might take time as well as involve the risk of losing money. To overcome this difficulty in testing a trading system or a trading strategy, backtesting has been developed. Backtesting is possible with the use of software. A trading system might comprise of a set of two or more indicators with a set of rules that tell when to enter or exit the trade.

How to do backtesting? Using a backtesting software makes it very simple and easy. Backtesting uses historical data to test the performance of the trading system under the past market conditions.

Now, back testing is done with historical data. What this means is that although your trading system might perform very well with back testing, it may not work in the present market. Market conditions keep on changing and what worked in the past may not work in the present. In the same way, what didn’t work in the past may start working now.

So when you look at back testing results, you should look at them with scepticism. But it doesn’t mean that backtesting is entirely useless! What we can say is that no two trades are exactly alike.

Some markets are highly seasonal. For example, if you are a commodity trader and tend to trade agricultural commodities like the grain, seed or the livestock, these have a fixed planting and harvesting cycles.

For example, some markets especially the commodities market is highly seasonal and cyclical in nature. Now in other markets, you might not find any seasonal trends. For example, there is very little seasonality in curreny market or the bond market. In case of the stock market, there is much talk of the January Effect. Well, it is there no doubt about it. Some years, it is highly pronounced and others it is not that pronounced. Similarly stock prices tend to rise at the end of each month and the first few days of the new months. The reason for this is that many institutional investors tend to put the new funds to work at the end of the month and the beginning of the new month!

Back testing can also help you establish the amount of time a particular market tends to run in a certain direction. For example, in case of US Dollar Index, its trend lines tend to last for months to years.

Now when you back test your trading system and the set of indicators, you can check their accuracy. For example, if you using a trading system based on moving average crossovers, you can back test it using different combinations. Then monitor each combination under live conditions to see which works the best.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Download this 1 Minute Forex Trading System FREE that makes money anytime instantly! Read this shocking FREE 40 page PDF FRWC Brutal Truth Report that exposes everything about trading robots!

Tags: credit, currency trading, day trading, debt, forex, futures, home business, money, mutual funds, options, real estate, retirement, stock market, stocks, trading, wealth building

Your Key to Success: Forex Autopilot

Dec 24, 2009 currency trading

There are so many Forex software products on the market that choosing one can be quite challenging. Traders aren’t programmers and it’s difficult to cut through all the jargon to find out what really works. Some of the products may be outdated and others may not be effective. Forex programs are expensive and you don’t want to waste your money.

You can check out products on scam and fraud websites and you can look at consumer complaints, but that may not give you the whole story. If a program is old, the people using it may be happy, but it may not be the best Forex software you can buy.

Forex Autopilot is a program for traders that provides accurate and easy to understand information on Forex trading and gives great tips on the some of the subtleties of investing in this market. The product is clearly explained and the developer hasn’t resorted to unnecessary hype.

Forex Autopilot is a Forex robot and it manages your investments and trades without any input from you. It works around the clock, even when you are sleeping, and it isn’t swayed by intuition or emotion. It looks for the best trades and takes advantage of them.

That is something that would never happen with Forex Autopilot. You would not only be informed of the benefits of this trading system especially for beginners, you will also be provided reasons why you would want to have a forex trading system that is running entirely on autopilot on your own.

The website is attractive and informative and doesn’t contain a lot of fluff or information that you don’t need or want. The developer understands what traders want and need to know and he presents that information clearly.

Some sites depend on fluff and try to obscure the facts about their product and about trading. They depend on lots of hype and unbelievable claims to get your attention and persuade you to buy whatever they are selling. Forex Autopilot wants you to be satisfied with their product. It’s clear they understand the market and they know what works.

You would surely have a hard time navigating because the scammer did not put much effort in designing the website.

The problem with a lot of sites that sell Forex software, is that the products are being sold by middlemen who don’t understand programming and have never traded in the Forex market. They just want to sell you their product, they don’t really care if it works. They don’t know how or if it works. Forex Autopilot was developed by a trader who understands software.

Since the owner of the site knows both his product and the Forex market, he is able to present the facts in clear, plain language that is easy to understand. You can see trades in real time and understand exactly how this software can help you trade profitably in the marketplace. There ’s no hype and no extravagant promises, just clear facts.

The developer came up with this program because he had bad experiences with other Forex software. We can all relate to that.

Not a lot of forex gurus have the humility to do that but for this man, it is different and he has happily shared his previous failures in his website in order to inspire others to become successful as well.

Find more about forex autopilot scam or check this real user forex ambush review.

Tags: business, currency, currency trading, debt, finance, forex, forex autopilot, FX, investing, market, money, mortgage, news, stocks, trading

Free Candlesticks Guide

Oct 27, 2009 currency trading

Candlestick charting methods had been developed by Japanese rice traders hundreds of years back. However, candlesticks have become popular in the Western trading community especially the United States in the past decade.

In the last two decades there have been seismic changes in the way people used to trade. The advent of internet has leveled the playing field for traders whether they trade stocks, futures, options, commodities, precious metals or currencies. Access to the market is now only one mouse click away.

Internet has made commission rates dramatically lower. Market information is now in most cases freely available online. The result is that a whole generation of new traders and investors want to try their luck beating the market.

Did you attend the last Steve Nison Candlestick Charting Technique webinar? Now, you should. Steve is the master of candlesticks and you can learn a lot from attending his candlestick. I am a great fan of candlesticks charting and I have seen many traders both new and professionals becoming die hard fans of candlestick charting. Why? Because candlestick charting is the best tool available. Can you beat the market? It depends if you are using the right tools.

On your trading platform provided by most of the online brokers you will find various types of charts. There are many forms of charting techniques that have been developed over time. Why candlestick charting is superior to other forms of charting like the line charts, bar charts or point and figure charts? One of the best features of candlestick charting is its visual appeal and readability. You can glance at a candlestick chart and quickly gain an understanding of whats going on with the price action in the market.

You can easily spot opening and closing price of a security or currency on a candlestick chart. These price levels can be a very important area of support and resistance from day to day.

There are certain specific candlestick patterns that can help you identify when is the best time to buy, sell or wait on a trade or investment. This information can be extremely useful for short term traders like day traders and swing traders.

These candlestick patterns can be a real boon to your trading and you can combine them with other technical indicators for even more reliable results. Now in order to trade and invest effectively using candlestick charts you need to understand these candlestick patterns.

Patterns appear on the candlestick charts as simple, single stick occurrences or complex multi stick formations. Many different types of candlestick patterns can tell you what may lie ahead in the market.

Entry and exit are the two most important things in any trade. You may use the information provided by candlestick patterns to decide when to get into a trade, when to get out of a trade or even when to hang unto a trade you are already in. This information can be highly valuable in knowing that the prevailing trend might reverse or continue.

Download your 82 page candlestick guide here complete with strategy flash cards all free. This is the best candlestick guide in the market and you dont need to waste your money on buying a guide because this candlestick guide is a complementary gift for you from the Options University.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. Try These 1500 Pips A Day Forex Signals From Heaven. Download Your Free 82 Page PDF Candlestick Guide! Get a totally unique version of this article from our article submission service

Tags: business, commodities, credit, currency trading, debt, finance, forex, futures, home business, investing, options, real estate, stocks, trading, wealth building

Parameters To Select Your Trading System

Oct 26, 2009 currency trading

As a trader you will need to develop your own trading system. You need to test your trading system overtime. Why you need a trading system? You need a trading system to make sure that your trading decisions are not arbitrary and based on your whims or emotions. A trading system will make your trading almost mechanical and emotion free. When selecting a trading system, first try to paper trade it. You need to paper trade your trading system to get the bugs out. Paper trading is not a substitute for live trading but still you can assume that 75% of the results that you achieve in demo trading can be replicated in live trading.

Win ratio and the payoff ration are two highly important figures to know for any trading system. Use the results of these paper trades to calculate your win ratio and payoff ratio. Determine what your personal win ratio and payoff ratio are in using that trading system over time.

Now in the case of a successful trader, it takes three to tango here. The trading system, your money management system and you yourself, all three of you have to gel together. The more profitable you will be over time, the stronger and more developed the relationship is between the three of you.

So for you to become a successful trader, a trading system is not enough. You need a good money management plan as well. Win ratio and the payoff ratio are required in developing a sound money management plan that will work hand in hand with that trading system. What can be the best parameters to selecting your trading system? When selecting your trading system, use these five parameters:

1) The trading system is analytical. Trade entries in the trading system are defined by market price activity, key support and resistance levels, volume and volatility dynamics and not on random and spontaneous decisions.

2) Never ever enter a trade without first putting a stop loss in place. Some new traders dont do it and get their account blown out in minutes. Before you enter the trade, the trading system is supposed to tell about the stop loss. The initial stop loss exit is determined before entering your trade.

3) Just like the trade entries, the trading system determines the trade exits by market price activity, key support and resistance levels, volume and volatility dynamics and fundamental rules, not on any arbitrary dollar loss that you feel comfortable with.

4) You must not underestimate the importance of paper trading though it is not a substitute for live trading. Your trading system has been adequately paper traded or live traded and you have determined your personal statistical performance. You need to know your win ratio and the payoff ratio.

Do not rely on the results that the other got with that trading system. Use the actual results that you attained while using that trading system in calculating your win ratio and the payoff ratio.

Again do not delude yourself by thinking that computer back testing can give you your win ratio or payoff ratio. Do not try to rely on computer back tested results. Your personal performance results are the real results that matter. You cannot depend on computer results and other traders results.

5) Your trading rules should be written out step by step in sequence so that the entries and exits are consistent, clear and above all quantifiable.

One perfect example of a rule based trading system is the Turtle Trading System. Have you ever heard of the Turtle Trading System? You must read the story of the Turtle Trading Experiment. Turtle Trading System was developed for the commodities futures market.

The story of Turtle trading rules is very interesting. You must know the story of Turtle Trading Rules. The creators of that trading system had a discussion one day. One master was of the opinion that great traders can be made. The other master said great traders are only born.

So a number of completely new traders were selected to teach them those rules and see if they could become successful traders. Many succeeded with this trading system and became highly successful traders.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Know Forex Charts! Try This 1500 Pips A Day Forex Signal Service! Grab a totally unique version of this article from the Uber Article Directory

Tags: business, credit, currency trading, debt, finance, forex, futures, home business, investing, options, real estate, retirement, stocks, trading, wealth building

Dont Trade Without A Stop Loss (Part I)

Oct 25, 2009 currency trading

You need to develop or adopt a trading system. Without having a trading system, you wont be able to make a consistent level of profits in the market. Do you have a trading system that tells you when to enter the market? Lets assume that you already have got a trading system that tells you where to enter the market. Does this system also tell you where to get out before you enter the trade?

On the road to profitability, lets start by agreeing that we need stop loss exits. In other words are you taking the market conditions into account and willing to give your trade a breathing space so that you dont get whipsawed or repeatedly get stopped out.

Trading cost is an important factor in your trading that many traders tend to ignore. Most take it as the inevitable cost of doing business. Just dont forget, the more trades you place, more commissions or spreads you will have to pay and the higher your trading cost will be. After this agreement on having stop loss exits, we need to determine how to effectively select stop loss exits to avoid excessive stop outs.

When you talk of your trading system, you should think about its win ratio and the payoff ratio. You should want to improve on them. The best way to do this is to develop a stop loss strategy that takes into account currency market conditions. So right there you can increase your profitability if you increase the number of winning trades that is your win ratio thereby decreasing your trading cost.

Finding the right trading system can be a lengthy process. There need to be a connection between you and your trading system. It truly is like having a personal relationship. You must believe in your trading system and have a high degree of trust that it can produce consistent level of profits overtime.

You need to thoroughly test your trading system and try to measure and calculate its parameters accurately. If you have a trading system that isnt working for you and your win ratio and your payoff ratio dont generate a profit over time then you need to rethink your trading strategy. But you must also understand that no trading system can be perfect and no trading system can produce 100% winning trades.

When you lose a trade, it can be your trading system or it can be you yourself. Determine if it is your trading system that isnt working or is it your trading psychology that is off. Make adjustments to entry and exits. Maybe the market conditions have changed and you havent adjusted your trading system to the new market conditions.

Just keep this in mind that if you dont give your trading system a chance to work jumping constantly from one trading system to another trading system in search of a holy grail wont help you.

The decision to divorce your trading system should be a carefully thought out one. Divorce of any kind can be emotionally and financially expensive so proceed with caution when divorcing your trading system.

If you feel comfortable and confident with your trading system, you ultimately will also be profitable. The primary purpose of your trading system is to make you feel comfortable and confident.

In the end, you need to develop a relationship with your trading system. You will feel confident when your trading system has proven to you and you have proven to your trading system that both can work together. Its a team work.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Try These 1500 Pips A Day Forex Signals From Heaven. Download Your Free 82 Page PDF Candlestick Guide!

Tags: business, commodities, credit, currency trading, debt, finance, forex, futures, home business, investing, options, real estate, stocks, trading, wealth building

Understanding Forex Margin Call

Oct 18, 2009 currency trading

Have you ever received the dreaded forex margin call? But contrary to the popular opinion that a margin call represents that worst case scenario for the currency trader, this is far from the truth. The risk that is assumed when trading aggressively the currency markets often results in receiving a margin call. The worst case could be far worse.

To owe additional funds to the broker is actually the worse case scenario. A margin call is in fact a safeguard to protect a trader from losing 100% or even more of the money in the trading account. This uncomfortable position is largely avoided because of the existence of the margin call.

You will receive an actual call from your stock broker to add more funds to your margin account when equity is running low in your stock trading account. Unlike the world of stock trading, a margin call is not actually a physical call from your broker in forex trading.

In forex trading when the trader no longer has enough equity in the trading account to keep the open positions viable, the trading platform software automatically closes out all the open positions and immediately realizes all losses at the prevailing market rates.

There are good reasons for automated margin calls in forex trading, although this may seem a bit cold hearted. Prices can move extremely fast in forex markets and because of the high leverage used, every price move is magnified.

The forex margin call closes all open positions to help ensure that the trader does not lose the entire account or worse as a safeguard measure. The trading account can become depleted very quickly with not enough time to call for more funds when the traders equity runs low in forex trading.

So exactly when is a margin call triggered? This depends exactly on the number and the size of the lots being traded, the leverage chosen and the equity in the account. For example, you have $1500 in your trading account. You use a leverage of 100:1 to trade in standard lots of $100,000.

You want to trade one standard lot of CHF/USD. That is CHF 100,000. Suppose the CHF/USD exchange rate is 1.3465. You need to convert it into Swiss Francs since your account is in US Dollars. So you need $1346 to trade standard lot of CHF 100,000. This is because with a leverage of 100:1, CHF 1000 are needed to control CHF 100,000.

Each pip is exactly equal to $10 in this case. Suppose you are very new and dont know about stop losses, you start trading without putting stop losses in place. Your trading account has $1500. The margin required to keep the trade open is $1346.

When your equity drops below $1346, you will receive a margin call. You have $1500 equity in your trading account. Your open position will be automatically closed when you receive a margin call. That means once you lose the excess equity in your account above the margin required to trade a standard lot that is $1500-$1346= $154. This is equal to 15.4 pips loss (assuming no spread).

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading stocks and currencies. Try 1500 Pips a day Forex Signals. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot Trading System!

Tags: business, credit, currency trading, debt, ecommerce, finance, forex, futures, investing, mutual funds, options, retirement, stocks, trading, wealth

Euro Currency Profile (Part I)

Oct 17, 2009 currency trading

The European Union consists of fifteen member countries that include France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom.

Out of these 15 countries, 12 common currency countries constitute the European Monetary Union (EMU). Except Denmark, Sweden and United Kingdom, all these above countries share the common currency Euro. These 12 countries share a single monetary policy dictated by the European Central Bank (ECB).

The EMU is the worlds second largest economic powerhouse after the United States. EMU has a highly developed and efficient fixed income, equity and the futures market. This makes EMU the second most attractive investment market for domestic and international investors.

US assets have had solid returns historically. United States absorbs something like 70% of the total foreign savings as a result. In the past, the EMU had difficulty in attracting foreign direct investment or large capital inflows. The primary reason was the United States. The present global financial crisis has hurt the US and EU economies deeply. It is expected that a major restructuring of the global financial system will take place eventually that makes EMU far more attractive.

However, with the introduction of the Euro and the EMU beginning to incorporate even more members in Eastern Europe, the Euros importance is expected to increase. The capital flows to Europe is expected to increase.

EMU is in fact a trade driven and a capital flow driven economy. Trade is very important to the national economies within EMU. Demand for Euro is expected to continue rising with foreign central banks expected to diversify their Euro reserve holdings even further away from US Dollar. In fact Euro provides a hedge against US Dollar reserves. If the EUR/USD pair goes up, it means US Dollar is losing value and if it goes down, it means US Dollar is gaining strength.

Unlike United States, EMU does not have large trade deficit or surplus. EU exports comprise almost 20% of the world trade. While EU accounts for only 17% of the world imports! Because of the size of the EMUs trade with the rest of the world, it has significant power in the international trade arena.

The formation of EU allows individual member countries to group as one entity and negotiates on an equal playing field with the United States. United States is the largest trading partner of EU. International clout is one of the primary reasons in the formation of EU.

Leading import sources for EU are United States, Japan, China, Switzerland and Russia. Leading export markets for EU are the United States, Switzerland, Japan, Poland and China.

Large numbers of EU based companies concentrate their research, design, innovation and marketing part of the activity in EU while outsourcing most of their manufacturing to Asia. EU is primarily a service oriented economy. Services account for more than 70% of the EU economy while manufacturing, mining and utilities account for around 20% of the EU economy.

Most international trade transactions involve the British Pound, the Japanese Yen and the US Dollar. It is important for most of the countries to hold large amounts of reserve currencies to reduce exchange rate risk and transaction costs.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading stocks and currencies. Try Strignano’s Forex Signals free. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot Trading System!

Tags: business, credit, currency trading, day trading, debt, finance, forex, futures, investing, mutual funds, options, retirement, stocks, trading, wealth

Time Frames For Swing Trading

Oct 16, 2009 currency trading

A swing trader may have started as a day trader. As the market kept moving in the desired direction, either they scaled out of a portion of the position, set a stop loss objective and kept the trade running.

So, many day traders eventually end up being swing traders when they see the trend continuing and dont wont to let go the opportunity of riding the trend. A swing trader is also considered to be a mini position holder. Swing traders need to focus on higher degree time frames and spend less time on 5-15 minutes time frames regardless of how swing trading started.

5-15 minute time frame charts are for the day traders, most of who are scalping. 5-15 minutes charts will generate too many short term signals if you are a swing trader holding a position for a few days. The most reasonable time frames for a swing trader are the 60 minutes (hourly), 240 minutes (4 hourly) and the daily charts.

As far as the pivot point trading is concerned, swing traders should give more attention to the daily, weekly and the monthly pivots. This information will help them to identify potential entry or exit targets but also help to be aware of the confluence of any support or resistance.

You are not so much concerned with long term macroeconomic conditions as you are with riding a momentum wave when you are day trading. The same is also true for swing trading. As a swing trader you are simply looking to ride from a move and profit from it. This is your job.

Swing traders try to identify a potential trend and enter it at a time when most of the other traders have not yet identified it. You need to capture opportunities as they arise. In short term trading market conditions change! Forex markets are ideal for momentum trades. The forex market tends to trend well over the course of 3-10 days. This allows swing traders opportunity to capture larger price swings over a given period of time.

You have access to the forex market over the 24 hours period unlike the equity markets. Forex markets are open 25/5 except on weekends. Therefore, you can monitor your positions, place stops and take action to exit a trade at any time, day or night. This is the biggest advantage that forex markets have over stock markets.

The fact that the forex market is a 24 hour market and because of the time frame involving several days in swing trading, swing trading is slightly more advantageous in forex markets. Due this continuous market action there are very few time that gaps occur in the currency pair prices, this makes forex markets more suitable for swing trading as compared to the equity markets.

In swing trading the profit potential is much higher if you enter a trade when the trend has just been formed. Carry a day trade through the overnight session if it moves sharply in your favor and you believe that a trend is in the making that can last several days. However, do not carry your losing position to the next session. Try not to hold a position over the weekend. Your entry was correct if the trade starts making money in your favor from the let go.

Wait until the close of the period to confirm the signal. Never anticipate that a signal will happen. Never get fancy and try to get a better fill by placing limit orders when you enter a bona fide trading signal. Go to the market before your competitors.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading stocks and currencies. Try Strignano’s Forex Signals free. Discover a revolutionary Forex Robot Trading System!

Tags: business, credit, currency trading, day trading, debt, finance, forex, futures, investing, mutual funds, options, retirement, stocks, trading, wealth

Currency Profile Of US Dollar (Part II)

Oct 15, 2009 currency trading

Role of monetary and fiscal policy in strengthening or weakening the US Dollar or that matter any other currency is important. The Federal Reserve Board (FED) is responsible for making the monetary policy of United States. Through its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), FED sets and implements the monetary policy. The voting members of FOMC are the seven governors of FED plus five presidents of the district reserve banks. Eight meeting of FOMC are held every year. These meetings are widely watched by the analyst for interest rate announcements and changes in growth expectations.

FED uses the monetary policy to control inflation, unemployment and balanced growth. FED has a high degree of independence in setting the monetary policy. FED has the mandate for long run price stability and sustainable economic growth. In other words, fighting inflation and unemployment are the two most important jobs of FED Chairman. The most important tool used by FED is its Open Market Operations.

FED controls the short term interest rate through its open market operations. It involves FEDs sale or purchase of government securities that includes treasury bills, notes and bonds. Increase in FEDs purchases lowers the interest rates while selling of these securities raises the interest rate.

The primary interest rate that is affected by these operations is the Federal Fund Rate. Federal Fund Rate is the key policy target of the FED. It is the interest rate at which the banks lend overnight to one another.

The US fiscal policy is in the control of US Treasury. Fiscal policy means the amount of taxes and government spending for a given year. In fact it is the US Treasury that actually determines the US Dollar policy.

You should always try to watch the US Treasury views as changes to that view is very important for the currency markets. For example, US Treasury can give instructions to the New York Federal Reserve Board to intervene in the forex markets by actually buying or selling US Dollars if the US Treasury feels that the US Dollar is under or overvalued.

EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD and USD/CHF are the most heavily traded currency pairs in the global currency markets. These currency pairs represent the most frequently traded currency pairs in the global markets. Over 90% of all currency deals involve the US Dollar. As you can see, all these currency pairs involve US Dollar on either side of the pair. So the most important economic data for the global currency markets is the US Dollar fundamentals.

The relationship between Gold and US Dollar is very important for you to understand. There is an almost perfect negative correlation between the US Dollar and the gold prices. The US Dollar moves in opposite direction to the gold. This inverse relationship stems from the fact that gold is measured in US Dollars.

Gold is commonly viewed as the ultimate safe haven commodity by the investors all over the globe. When US Dollar depreciates due to global economic uncertainty like the present, gold appreciates. You must know that the gold prices are going up right now.

Tags: business, credit, currency trading, day trading, debt, finance, forex, futures, investing, mutual funds, options, retirement, stocks, trading, wealth

US Dollar Currency Profile (Part I)

Oct 15, 2009 currency trading

As a currency trader, you should know the US Dollar intimately. It is important for you as currency trader to have a good grasp of the general economic characteristics of the most commonly traded currencies. US Dollar is the most heavily traded currency in the global economy.

Traders need to also know the difference between the expected and the actual data. Some currencies tend to track commodity prices while others may move in complete contrast.

News or data that is in line with the expectations has less of an impact on currency movements than unexpected news or data. The correlation between the currency markets and news is very important. Therefore short term traders need to closely monitor the expectation of the currency markets.

US GDP is approximately three times the size of Japan, five times the size of Germany and seven times the size of UK. United States is the worlds leading economy. The US economy is now a service oriented economy with almost 80% of GDP coming from real estate, transportation, finance, health care and business services.

United States capital markets are the most efficient markets in the world. United States has the worlds most liquid and deep equity and fixed income markets in the world. The manufacturing sector is still formidable and US Dollar is particularly sensitive to the development within the sector. Cheap capital formation is what drives any company or any economy and United States capital markets help in cheap capital formation.

Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) into the US is equal to almost 40% of the total net inflows for United States. Investors from all over the world purchase US assets due to their liquidity and safety. The import and export volume of US also dwarfs the countries. This maybe due to the sheer size of US as true import and export represent only 12% of the GDP.

However, United States is running a large CA deficit for more than a decade now. US economy is facing the paradox of the twin deficits. One is the Budget Deficit and the other is the Current Account (CA) deficit. During the present financial crisis, the budget deficit has ballooned. Almost a trillion dollars have been added to the budget deficit. This is going to fuel inflation when the economy recovers. There are dangers of high inflation returning. Inflation can make the US Dollar weak in the long run.

Due to the high CA deficit; United States need to attract a few billion dollars of capital inflows daily in order to prevent the decline in the value of US Dollar. In other words, the Current Account (CA) deficit is being financed by the Capital Account (KA) surplus. The large CA deficit makes the US Dollar highly sensitive to changes in the capital flows.

US is a member of the World Trade Organization (WTO). A weaker US Dollar will help boost US exports whereas a stronger US Dollar makes the US exports expensive and US imports cheap. United States is the trading partner of many countries across the globe. US trade is equal to roughly 20% of the world trade.

Leading export markets for United States are: Canada, Mexico, Japan, EU and UK. Leading import sources for United States are: Canada, China, Mexico, Japan and EU. The growth and political stability in countries that are leading export markets for US are important. For example, should Canada growth slow; its demand for US exports will fall that will have a ripple effect on US growth.

Tags: business, credit, currency trading, day trading, debt, finance, forex, futures, investing, mutual funds, options, retirement, stocks, trading, wealth